カナザワ,ユウイチロウ   KANAZAWA, Yuichiro
  金澤 雄一郎
   所属   国際基督教大学教養学部 アーツ・サイエンス学科
   職種   教授
言語種別 英語
発行・発表の年月 2010/10
形態種別 研究論文
査読 査読あり
標題 少年の殺人事件発生率と完全失業率の長期的関連――日本における1974 年から2006 年までの時系列データの実証分析.
執筆形態 共著
掲載誌名 犯罪社会学研究
掲載区分国内
出版社・発行元 Japanese Association of Sociological Criminology
巻・号・頁 35,pp.115-130
著者・共著者 Yoshikazu YUMA, Chiaki YUMA
概要 The effect of unemployment on Japanese juvenile homicide rates in the period from the 1973 oil crisis to 2006 is not well-understood. Japanese society went through momentous changes in this period. Did a stable relationship (the so-called "cointegration") between the Japanese unemployment rate and the juvenile homicide rate exist for a period of time, but then switch to a new "long-term" relationship? Employing Gregory and Hansen's (1996a, 1996b) residual-based tests for cointegration to permit such trend/regime shifts, we found a stable long-term relationship between the unemployment rate and the homicide rate for both the 16-17 year-old juvenile group and the 18-19 year-old juvenile group, but did not find any structural changes. These results demonstrated that unemployment rates and homicide rates increase consistently during the period. We discuss the implications of these results.
DOI https://doi.org/10.20621/jjscrim.35.0_115
ISSN 0386460X
NAID 110007817643